Oliver Munday to illustrate the timeIt is now also the traditional solution of direct taxation in the United States to face a calamity. USA: the problems are serious: the deficit, which is greater than 10% of the GDP and the total debt, which is more than 70% of ITS GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP). But all evidence suggests that the US will face an immediate crisis. Discover the simplest indicator: the date that the Standard and poor's raised its now famous warnings, for the purposes of calculating the market decided the u.s. borrowing costs and USD against the euro, the main alternative. In fact, the United States of America and the real problem may well be that it will face a crisis in the short term.
Around the world, people, countries and companies are looking for safe, liquid investments. And the market Court is the safest investment in the debt of Uncle Sam. We all know the US debt in the medium-and long-term problem. It has been discussed throughout the world in recent years. And yet, during the u.s. borrowing costs have decreased. The markets are still willing to lend more money to astonishingly low in Washington. Care USA: n debt today is actually less than it was in 1998, Clinton at jib-height. Why? Although the Us debt is now much higher, interest rates are much lower and the result is less than the Bill of materials (BOM). (See pictures of the global financial crisis.)
Of course, change the views in the market, but for immediate exchange takes place, there must be attractive to U.s. Treasury bills. Imagine, the head of the Central Bank of China. You will need to invest tens of billions of dollars each year to something safe and liquid as you can get the money back when you need it. Has some good options. To invest in European bonds, but have you been alarmed in recent series of crises in the Euro. German officials have predicted that Greece has a default value, which, if it occurs, could precipitate a panic round. It is reasonable to ask, in its current form of the euro will be even be about 10 years from now? Reflecting this uncertainty, the small countries in Europe have increased dramatically as a result of the debt.
Then you are Japanese bonds. You can place them in, but Japan is the worst in the balance sheet of the European countries in relation to ITS GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) debt of 200% of the PC, slow growth and the rapid aging of the population. Plus you can hate the Japanese (China), never apologize for World War II, and most likely will not do anything to shore as a global currency, the yen. The actual assets could buy — mines, oil fields, buildings — but they are changing the investments that are difficult to sell quickly and in any case, even if you have bought dozens of them, you can still have tens of billions of dollars to place somewhere along the left. To invest in the bonds of the people's Republic of China, but that the Chinese currency, the value of the drive and make a more expensive, for export to China, which would mean fewer jobs in manufacturing companies. In short, Beijing to buy Treasury bills is not out of love, America, but good, practical reasons. (See "what the US debt problem means the world economy.")
The u.s. economy in the short term, the news is positive. April's report from the IMF that global growth in the United States is likely to be the world's developed economies, China and India but very forward, fastest growing Europe. USA is the only advanced economy, with GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) is now back to precrisis levels. American consumers are saving more quickly than they were ten years and spend also begins. American companies have $ 2 trillion in cash on their balance sheets. Of course, the problems remain, but the US economy finally moving again.
As a matter of fact, the real problem is that this short-term good news means that Washington is not really behave as if it is in a crisis situation, regardless of the Rhetoric. Democrats still clinging to the entitlement to the aid programmes, with the actual cost cutting does not speak, even if the current system is clearly impossible. In the United States Government to build the confidence to pretend the world on the brink of losing, but they really believe that. If they did, they do not play politics with the vote to raise the debt ceiling; They also agree to raise taxes or undo the Bush-era tax cuts. The one step contributing to stabilising the u.s. economy, already a decade (even if the right system reform in the long term, yet). Other than the Gang of six in the Senate, the people are still pushing the idea of history rather than to fix this problem. The great danger is that once again the American economy to outperform expectations and exempt from the need to make tough choices on the politicians to fees and taxes. But it only postpone the day of reckoning, and crashes more painful.
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